The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2024

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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文章翻译还行，和黑天鹅类似的理论，观点值得细细研究，开拓眼界。

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印刷质量还可以吧

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看过前一版的，但升级版不知怎样

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东西不错，价廉物美，领券时买更合算，可以考虑回购。希望商家再接再励，多回馈顾客。

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培根先生说过：“知识就是力量。”不错，多读书，增长了课外知识，可以让你感到浑身充满了一股力量。这种力量可以激励着你不断地前进，不断地成长。从书中，你往往可以发现自己身上的不足之处，使你不断地改正错误，摆正自己前进的方向。所以，书也是我们的良师益友。

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灰犀牛，黑天鹅，一系列都值得我们一读，刚刚拿到，还没有开始，不过口碑都是很不错的！

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塔勒布

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这本书难得打折，送货快！

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