The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2024

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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看过前一版的，但升级版不知怎样

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灰犀牛，黑天鹅，一系列都值得我们一读，刚刚拿到，还没有开始，不过口碑都是很不错的！

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东西很好，值得购买的，赞一个！

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不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错不错

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最后面粘在一起烂了好几页

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还没看，但应该不错。还没看，但应该不错。还没看，但应该不错。还没看，但应该不错。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

我为什么喜欢在京东买东西，因为今天买明天就可以送到。我为什么每个商品的评价都一样，因为在京东买的东西太多太多了，导致积累了很多未评价的订单，所以我统一用段话作为评价内容。京东购物这么久，有买到很好的产品，也有买到比较坑的产品，如果我用这段话来评价，说明这款产品没问题，至少85分以上，而比较垃圾的产品，我绝对不会偷懒到复制粘贴评价，我绝对会用心的差评，这样其他消费者在购买的时候会作为参考，会影响该商品销量，而商家也会因此改进商品质量。

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商品包装完整，内容有些可读性。

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印刷质量还可以吧

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