The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2025

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書 格式

評分☆☆☆☆☆

內容不用說瞭，粗略翻瞭很棒。得錶揚下京東快遞，不光送上樓，而且書很完美，邊角一點砸痕沒有，

評分☆☆☆☆☆

哦。。。老外寫得略微有點囉嗦。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

這本書難得打摺，送貨快！

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京東的書一直買，都很好

評分☆☆☆☆☆

什麼都好，就是書有汙垢，白色的書，髒瞭。心情不好瞭。。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

書是好書，京東拖瞭個把月纔到

評分☆☆☆☆☆

 

評分☆☆☆☆☆

好好好好好好 好好

評分☆☆☆☆☆

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