The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2025

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編輯推薦

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書 格式

評分☆☆☆☆☆

貨已收到，很滿意，是本好書啊！風險提示不能忘啊！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

這類的書都應該看看避免大規模的風險

評分☆☆☆☆☆

書不錯，但是京東服務越來越差，其他退貨貨單子根本不反饋，隻能全部差評瞭

評分☆☆☆☆☆

一次買瞭好多書、用心學習、經營自己的生活和工作。學習無止境纔能達成所願。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

內容不用說瞭，粗略翻瞭很棒。得錶揚下京東快遞，不光送上樓，而且書很完美，邊角一點砸痕沒有，

評分☆☆☆☆☆

書不錯，但是京東服務越來越差，其他退貨貨單子根本不反饋，隻能全部差評瞭

評分☆☆☆☆☆

 

評分☆☆☆☆☆

快看完瞭，怎麼說呢，這本書的思想值得思考，但是內容嘛，有點亂。像那種隨手筆記的感覺，可能和翻譯有點關係，或者外國人的說方式有點不同吧。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

非常值得一讀，當前經濟形勢錯綜復雜，這本書能夠帶來有益的思考。

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