The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2025

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書 格式

評分☆☆☆☆☆

包裝有破損 哎

評分☆☆☆☆☆

書寫的感覺一般，我翻翻看看的，內容很囉嗦，其實隻要一篇論文就可以說清楚瞭，不知道老外怎麼喜歡寫這麼多話。3分。

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還不錯

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京東活動好評京東活動好評

評分☆☆☆☆☆

錯彆字太多瞭，中信齣版社太愚蠢瞭吧

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好書，先屯起來慢慢看：）

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都在京東買書，京東送貨快，方便。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

送貨快的很

評分☆☆☆☆☆

包裝不錯，配送也很給力，活動打摺買的，很劃算。

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