Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2024

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内容简介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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不错

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京东物流超级快，前一天晚上买，第二天就到了，而且这次活动力度很大，收的很多书都直接下手啦！第一本英文原版书，希望看完

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经过五十几天的等待，书终于拿到了，但是有些小失望。首先是包装不好，连塑封都没有，书边都卷了，书皮还有划痕。能看出漂洋过海，旅途颠簸！只是不知道别的海外购书是否也是如此！再有就是书的纸张一般。书的内容还没有看就让人不愉快！给五分是对京东的期望与鼓励！

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第二次购买了，快递物流没得说

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纸质有些粗糙，比不上MarketPlace Books出版社的那些精装书

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喜欢

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书不错，但时间过长，且边缘有些磨损

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非常赞，中文版的刚阅读完了，不解渴。原版自己体会才是精髓。

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