Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2024

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内容简介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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东西不错，物流很快，值得推荐和再次购买。

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好书，推荐购买，英文原版，直接阅读

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京东物流超级快，前一天晚上买，第二天就到了，而且这次活动力度很大，收的很多书都直接下手啦！第一本英文原版书，希望看完

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终于收到啦。很好。好久没读外文书了。这次必须重新读起来。

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第二次购买了，快递物流没得说

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同事买了英汉两版，对比看

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看过中文版的，但原版理解更好，推荐阅读

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本来以为要等好几个月，没想到三天就到了，不错不错！书质量还可以

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