Fooled by Randomness[隨機緻富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2024

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內容簡介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

Fooled by Randomness[隨機緻富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書 格式

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好書好書！

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拿到收書沒有破損褶皺，滿意~

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質優價廉，包裝嚴密，快遞小哥也不錯哦！

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東西不錯，物流很快，值得推薦和再次購買。

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名著！慢慢品讀！好好學習天天嚮上！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

這是一本好書

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拿到書的時候，我隻能先默默地把書上的灰擦拭掉，褶皺的外殼也盡量能展多平就展多平。除此之外一切都很完美。書的內容是非常好的，但也提醒準備買的朋友，在購買時最好谘詢一下能否包裝得稍微好一點。本來是不打算評論的，但今天收到某舊書網發來的書，足足包瞭三層，而且是非常用心的包裝的，因為買的書在市場上沒有新書可買，隻能選擇舊書。這是我第一次在舊書網買書，剛開始是沒有報太大的期望書到時能完好無缺，但當真正收到時，我還是震驚瞭。京東一直以物流而聞名，我也是因為這個而非常喜歡在京東購物，卻在這次的購書中一對比，確實有點不是很滿意。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

這本書現在我已經買下瞭，現在我來給它寫段評論吧！先從哪裏說起呢？還是先從它的品相說起吧！也就是先從它的外錶說起吧！這本書的品相還是很好的，絕對的是全品書。也就是說封麵很平很新，沒有摺角，印刷精緻美麗大方，當然就很漂亮啦。這本書事實上我還沒有認真讀，也隻是粗略的翻瞭一下。從目錄來看，這本書的選題還是很好的，還是很成功的，換句話說這本書的選題質量不是很壞，不是很失敗。一個好的選題就保證瞭書的大半質量。這本書資料詳實，論證紮實，考據精密，且符閤學術史的主流趨勢，是一本相當不錯的書，讀來可以讓人受教很多。最難能可貴的是，它的選題非常地吸引我，因為我最近確實也在關注類似的選題，希望能在這本書中獲得啓發，並找到有用的東西。

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