"Ray Dalio's excellent study provides an innovative way of thinking about debt crises and the policy response." - Ben Bernanke
"Ray Dalio's book is must reading for anyone who aspires to prevent or manage through the next financial crisis." - Larry Summers
"A terrific piece of work from one of the world's top investors who has devoted his life to understanding markets and demonstrated that understanding by navigating the 2008 financial crisis well." - Hank Paulson
"An outstanding history of financial crises, including the devastating crisis of 2008, with a very valuable framework for understanding why the engine of the financial system occasionally breaks down, and what types of policy actions by central banks and governments are necessary to resolve systemic financial crises. This should serve as a play book for future policy makers, with practical guidance about what to do and what not to do." - Tim Geithner
On the 10th anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis, one of the world's most successful investors, Ray Dalio, shares his unique template for how debt crises work and principles for dealing with them well. This template allowed his firm, Bridgewater Associates, to anticipate events and navigate them well while others struggled badly.
As he explained in his #1 New York Times Bestseller, Principles: Life & Work, Dalio believes that most everything happens over and over again through time so that by studying their patterns one can understand the cause-effect relationships behind them and develop principles for dealing with them well. In this 3-part research series, he does that for big debt crises and shares his template in the hopes reducing the chances of big debt crises happening and helping them be better managed in the future.
The template comes in three parts provided in three books: 1) The Archetypal Big Debt Cycle (which explains the template), 2) 3 Detailed Cases (which examines in depth the 2008 financial crisis, the 1930's Great Depression, and the 1920's inflationary depression of Germany's Weimar Republic), and 3) Compendium of 48 Cases (which is a compendium of charts and brief descriptions of the worst debt crises of the last 100 years). Whether you're an investor, a policy maker, or are simply interested, the unconventional perspective of one of the few people who navigated the crises successfully, A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises will help you understand the economy and markets in revealing new ways.
##魏玛共和国和29年大萧条的例子非常清晰。学了这么多年二战史,竟然是看了dalio的书之后才终于明白了一直不明白的事。算是一个意外的收获。在理论方面,dalio的模型其实没有什么特殊的。只是更量化统一的说明了,在危机时放水时必须的,货币贬值是必须的。其他的道德和政治争议,比如放水是不是便宜了黑心资本家,比如说是不是要给政府或银行一个教训,这些争论都要往后放。因为在当下,这些因素都只会让经济每况愈下,无法回复。但他整理的历史也侧面说明了,在真实世界里,做“正确的放水决定”是很困难的,政策执行人常常会反复,所以一旦进入危机周期,每一次不彻底的政策带来的部分反弹,都难掩整体的下行趋势。
评分##Type of books only Dalio can write
评分##Type of books only Dalio can write
评分##Simply the best hypothesis, and proven.
评分##一本三册。看完了第一册 讲的债务危机的基本类型和原理 能把复杂的事情讲的如此简单 绝对是功力体现 Ray Dalio的新书最近也很火 其实个人感觉不过是这本书的延续 他一直致力于找出现象后面的规律 而经济现象后面的规律本质其实是人性。只要人类这种动物的特性不变这些现象应该会以不同的面貌持续出现下去 延绵不绝。每个普通人其实都应该看看本书 能掌握一点对宏观基本的分析原理。后面两册是具体的各个国家债务危机的case study 明天继续啃
评分##Type of books only Dalio can write
评分##没时间的话主要读第一部分和2007-2008的案例就好了,可是人类什么时候会从中吸取教训呢?
评分##应该是我第一本完整看完的英文版经济学书。之前没有经济学基础,经济学方面的词汇量也不够,还是挺吃力的,很多术语只能查 wiki 或 investopedia,前前后后花了有半年时间,总得来说觉得值。最重要的是 Dalio 提供了三次金融危机的非常详细的描述,还有精确到天的报纸的摘要,简直可以每天看一部分然后像真实体验过一样。之后看类似危机分析的书可以拿来做对照。
评分##终于读完了。精华在于第一部分最后一节和第二部分的三个案例。其实应该反思的是战争和债务危机的关系。
本站所有内容均为互联网搜索引擎提供的公开搜索信息,本站不存储任何数据与内容,任何内容与数据均与本站无关,如有需要请联系相关搜索引擎包括但不限于百度,google,bing,sogou 等
© 2026 book.teaonline.club All Rights Reserved. 图书大百科 版权所有