具体描述
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用户评价
##宏大的史观和抽丝剥茧后鞭辟入里的总结，非常值得一读。
评分##历史的pattern如此显而易见，然而许多人像喂了100天的鸡一样看不见。大变局正在发生
评分##概括起来：中国称霸世界指日可待，概率最大
评分##自荐一波我朗读的英文原版有声书～求轻拍哈哈～B站 https://b23.tv/QUb3eJU
评分##大时代儿女必读书目。非常清晰有价值的体系，让我可以把之前一直在纠结理清的宏观微观政治经济历史的规律与偶然，趋势与变化一股脑都扔进去。
评分##No 2 of 2022. 五星好评，我愿意吹爆这本书。利用元旦假期读完这厚厚又沉甸甸的一本书，糅合了历史，政治和经济的趋势大轮廓总结，以一个上帝视角观察了过去几百年的轮回和曲线。撇开作者和中国的深厚友谊和关系，对历史的评价和对中国的理解还是很客观和深刻的，懂得历史的人能在对方角度去思考的人都是有大智慧的人，同时作者对中美关系的评价以及未来趋向发展也是足够理性的。除此之外，历史是复杂的，这种抽丝剥茧的概括不能诠释历史的全部，但至少让我们能够跳出自己的视野去更好的理解和观察这个世界，毕竟在时代的趋势下我们每个人都是渺小的灰尘。
评分##All currencies will devalue or go to zero eventually.
评分##meaningful work and meaningful relationship。醍醐灌顶
评分##债务周期视角下的世界秩序
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