Narrative Economics

Narrative Economics 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2026

Robert J. Shiller
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具體描述

From Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a new way to think about how popular stories help drive economic events

In a world in which internet troll farms attempt to influence foreign elections, can we afford to ignore the power of viral stories to affect economies? In this groundbreaking book, Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller offers a new way to think about the economy and economic change. Using a rich array of historical examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that affect individual and collective economic behaviorâ€"what he calls "narrative economics"â€"has the potential to vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises, recessions, depressions, and other major economic events.

Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move marketsâ€"whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up, that housing prices never fall, or that some firms are too big to fail. Whether true or false, stories like theseâ€"transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social mediaâ€"drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that by laying the foundation for a way of understanding how stories help propel economic events that have had led to war, mass unemployment, and increased inequality.

The stories people tellâ€"about economic confidence or panic, housing booms, the American dream, or Bitcoinâ€"affect economic outcomes. Narrative Economics explains how we can begin to take these stories seriously. The result may be Robert Shiller's most important book to date.

用戶評價

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##good stories badly assembled together

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##good stories badly assembled together

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##Good stories go viral and have always affected the economy; 9 perennial economic narratives; toolkits from many different fields: epidemiology, neuroscience, sociology, history…

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從傳染病學和心理學的角度去分析narrative對於經濟的影響,其中提到的傳染病學理論去研究新聞(narrative)在公眾裏的傳播、變異和影響,非常貼切。裏麵提到的幾個perennial narrative(反復齣現的narrative)可以理解為幾種反復齣現不斷變異的病毒,每次得到閤適的土壤就會捲土重來。這對於券商宏觀分析師來說其實是很有用的,希望有一天可以用微博熱搜或者微信公眾號文章閱讀齣一個"最受關注的narrative指數"

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##很囉嗦,敘事起的作用和索羅斯說的reflexivity相通,在社會中,人們的主觀認識影響客觀現實並構成客觀現實的一部分,主觀和客觀相互作用,相互反饋,影響社會。

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##經濟現象的社會心理學

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##Who to deeply understand behavioral & psychological economics #getAbstract

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##想法其實挺簡單,在傳統經濟理論中加入行為學因素。是個應景的理論,因為隨著科技發展,消息的傳播越來越快。一句話概括全書: thought viruses are responsible for many of the changes we observe in economic activities, and it's gonna come again, again and again. 這本書寫得不咋的,但充分激發瞭我學習病理學等自然科學的熱情。感覺未來傳統學科的第二春也隻能來自跨學科交融的突變(mutation)瞭。以及,得流量者得天下啊。

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##好像什麼都說瞭,又好像什麼都沒說。。。

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