Narrative Economics

Narrative Economics 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2025

Robert J. Shiller
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具體描述

From Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a new way to think about how popular stories help drive economic events

In a world in which internet troll farms attempt to influence foreign elections, can we afford to ignore the power of viral stories to affect economies? In this groundbreaking book, Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller offers a new way to think about the economy and economic change. Using a rich array of historical examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that affect individual and collective economic behaviorâ€"what he calls "narrative economics"â€"has the potential to vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises, recessions, depressions, and other major economic events.

Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move marketsâ€"whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up, that housing prices never fall, or that some firms are too big to fail. Whether true or false, stories like theseâ€"transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social mediaâ€"drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that by laying the foundation for a way of understanding how stories help propel economic events that have had led to war, mass unemployment, and increased inequality.

The stories people tellâ€"about economic confidence or panic, housing booms, the American dream, or Bitcoinâ€"affect economic outcomes. Narrative Economics explains how we can begin to take these stories seriously. The result may be Robert Shiller's most important book to date.

用戶評價

評分

##作者試圖理解經濟事件的傳播軌跡,就像書名就是敘事經濟學,經濟事件的敘事方式對經濟事件的後果影響很大。作者用瞭很多全球社會上發生的大事來論證傳播軌跡遵循瞭一種類似流行病學傳播軌跡的模型。 2020新冠之年讀這本書可能挺有代入感的。推薦人:哈柬俊

評分

##概念很重要 / 彆陷在概念裏

評分

##速讀看大方嚮,ngram造福人類;感覺也很適閤精讀,把提到的幾個經典敘事裏的案例逐個深入瞭解一下。最後一章展示的研究方嚮/地圖(畫的大餅)甚至讓人有些熱血沸騰蠢蠢欲動

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##很囉嗦,敘事起的作用和索羅斯說的reflexivity相通,在社會中,人們的主觀認識影響客觀現實並構成客觀現實的一部分,主觀和客觀相互作用,相互反饋,影響社會。

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##好像什麼都說瞭,又好像什麼都沒說。。。

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##想法其實挺簡單,在傳統經濟理論中加入行為學因素。是個應景的理論,因為隨著科技發展,消息的傳播越來越快。一句話概括全書: thought viruses are responsible for many of the changes we observe in economic activities, and it's gonna come again, again and again. 這本書寫得不咋的,但充分激發瞭我學習病理學等自然科學的熱情。感覺未來傳統學科的第二春也隻能來自跨學科交融的突變(mutation)瞭。以及,得流量者得天下啊。

評分

##懶婆娘的裹腳布,又臭又長!

評分

##好像什麼都說瞭,又好像什麼都沒說。。。

評分

##傳統的經濟學建立在一個假設前提的基礎上: 所有的人都是理性的,然而現實並非如此。越來越多的經濟學傢在關注其他因素對經濟的影響。敘事對經濟一定是有影響的,不過要做敘事經濟學的研究有很多還未解決的問題,我能想到的作者在書裏最後一部分都提到瞭,比如很難證明和量化敘事和經濟變化之間的因果或相關性,還沒有找到非常科學的方法論,和同一經濟問題相關的敘事紛繁復雜,有相似的有矛盾的,數據收集也是問題。作者在第三部分的九個章節裏列舉的幾個典型敘事對經濟的影響也是基於上述原因,欠缺瞭些說服力。不過提齣這個概念是很有意義的。

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