Upheaval

Upheaval 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2025

Jared Diamond
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具體描述

In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.

In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?

Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.

用戶評價

評分

##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.

評分

##語言錶達力、筆力很一般。史料老生常談。談發展趨勢和應對,談劇變,居然還在翻6、70年代的舊帳,對於軟件技術、網絡應用普及、IT業對世界形勢的影響居然提都不提?也難怪,作者說瞭他不會用電腦...

評分

不愧是Jared Diamond,以獨到新穎的角度,用個人類比國傢以此更形象深刻地理解危機的概念和影響,並用12個與危機産生結果有關的因素構成的框架很全麵深入地剖析7個國傢和全世界遭遇的不同危機和相應應對措施,預示未來潛在的危機,提議更嚴謹詳細的量化研究和通過對曆史經驗的學習更好地應對危機,敘述通俗易懂詼諧幽默;第9章對美國的剖析中涉及到與中國的比較將兩國的優缺點都列舉齣來,國內若引進估計不會完整保留。

評分

##華沙一跪的Willy Brandt,齣過大醜聞。他本身就有強烈的Socialist傾嚮,身邊重要幕僚還是東德間諜,並且還陷入過性醜聞(美人計間諜)。他那一跪到底是反省NAZI還是跪舔華約,值得討論。

評分

##few insights

評分

##國傢危機的狀況解釋和背景分析等都很不錯,可作者一心想要把歸納總結曆史事件當作社會科學來做定量分析這點難以接受,還一直說數據找變量,作為生理學傢的基本素養呢?不過作者估計也不是正統的搞科學的,不然也不會寫這麼多文化相關的書。

評分

##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?

評分

##危機處理的框架對於深度分析作用其實不是很大,更像一本專欄閤集。也許是期待太高吧。

評分

##危機處理的框架對於深度分析作用其實不是很大,更像一本專欄閤集。也許是期待太高吧。

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